1 00:05:12,790 --> 00:05:23,859 [Music] 2 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:30,000 hello 3 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:32,720 bonjour and ahoy on tuesday evening we 4 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:34,720 hosted the globesec awards ceremony at 5 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:36,320 the bratislava castle 6 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:38,080 where we awarded the annual czech and 7 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:40,080 slovak transatlantic award to both 8 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:41,520 general john allen 9 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:44,400 and vatsville havel in memoriam and here 10 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:47,120 are the highlights from day two 11 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,199 we kicked off the day on the main stage 12 00:05:49,199 --> 00:05:50,400 hearing from the foreign affairs 13 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:52,000 minister of slovakia and 14 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:53,919 austria as well as the deputy foreign 15 00:05:53,919 --> 00:05:55,520 affairs minister of italy on how to 16 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:57,039 strengthen europe's role on the 17 00:05:57,039 --> 00:05:58,800 international stage 18 00:05:58,800 --> 00:06:00,400 staying on the subject of european 19 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:02,160 diplomacy we heard from the foreign 20 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:03,680 affairs minister of croatia 21 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,160 north macedonia and slovenia on their 22 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:07,520 respective trajectories towards 23 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:09,520 achieving an ever greater european 24 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:10,639 integration 25 00:06:10,639 --> 00:06:12,560 this was followed by a lively discussion 26 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:14,160 among foreign affairs ministers of the 27 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:14,960 visigrad 28 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:17,440 iv which included poland hungary czech 29 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:19,360 republic and slovakia 30 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:21,919 mayors from bratislava and budapest as 31 00:06:21,919 --> 00:06:23,919 well as a voice from the czech republic 32 00:06:23,919 --> 00:06:25,759 discuss the reactions of cities to the 33 00:06:25,759 --> 00:06:27,440 pandemic and the need to improve 34 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:28,880 communications with government and 35 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:30,720 generate more capacity in times of 36 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:31,360 crisis 37 00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:33,199 with the meaning between biden and putin 38 00:06:33,199 --> 00:06:35,360 taking place experts from russia 39 00:06:35,360 --> 00:06:37,600 the eu and north america speculated on 40 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,280 the potential outcomes and what to look 41 00:06:39,280 --> 00:06:40,319 for 42 00:06:40,319 --> 00:06:42,479 finally we ended the day by hearing from 43 00:06:42,479 --> 00:06:44,560 renowned thinker francis fukiyama 44 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:45,759 about the need to rebuild the 45 00:06:45,759 --> 00:06:47,520 foundations of democracy and trust 46 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:49,120 throughout societies 47 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:51,280 our list of international expert and 48 00:06:51,280 --> 00:06:52,560 renowned thinkers is 49 00:06:52,560 --> 00:06:54,720 far from over so stay tuned for more 50 00:06:54,720 --> 00:07:02,130 video highlights and recaps 51 00:07:02,130 --> 00:07:14,310 [Music] 52 00:07:14,310 --> 00:07:16,320 [Applause] 53 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:27,060 [Music] 54 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:33,840 good morning everyone and welcome to the 55 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:34,639 third day 56 00:07:34,639 --> 00:07:38,479 of the globsec bratislava forum 57 00:07:38,479 --> 00:07:41,520 and welcome to this session about 58 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:44,800 strategic and 59 00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:49,039 a strategic foresight for resilience uh 60 00:07:49,039 --> 00:07:51,360 focusing on the eu and nato in a 61 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:53,120 post-pandemic world and 62 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:56,160 we have been discussing uh the question 63 00:07:56,160 --> 00:07:56,639 of 64 00:07:56,639 --> 00:07:58,639 resilience the question of lessons from 65 00:07:58,639 --> 00:07:59,919 the pandemic 66 00:07:59,919 --> 00:08:02,479 in many formats and in many aspects in 67 00:08:02,479 --> 00:08:04,400 the last two days 68 00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:07,919 but this is the time when we have 69 00:08:07,919 --> 00:08:10,800 two leaders from the two decisive euro 70 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:12,879 euro-atlantic institutions 71 00:08:12,879 --> 00:08:15,919 in the same debate one is right next to 72 00:08:15,919 --> 00:08:18,240 me here mara shevchevich 73 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:20,560 the vice president of the european 74 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:21,440 commission 75 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:23,759 for inter-institutional questions and 76 00:08:23,759 --> 00:08:25,199 foresight 77 00:08:25,199 --> 00:08:28,400 and we have joining us uh virtually 78 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:29,680 online 79 00:08:29,680 --> 00:08:34,399 mercedes the uh deputy secretary general 80 00:08:34,399 --> 00:08:38,958 of nato so welcome to you gentlemen um 81 00:08:38,958 --> 00:08:42,159 uh i i think we should start with uh 82 00:08:42,159 --> 00:08:44,800 personalized questions to the two 83 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:45,519 speakers 84 00:08:45,519 --> 00:08:48,399 possible follow-up questions our time is 85 00:08:48,399 --> 00:08:49,519 rather limited 86 00:08:49,519 --> 00:08:52,640 um we have about uh 30 87 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:56,160 uh two minutes from now and um 88 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:58,240 therefore we need to keep it brief in 89 00:08:58,240 --> 00:08:59,839 the beginning um 90 00:08:59,839 --> 00:09:02,320 we want to have as much as possible 91 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:03,279 interaction 92 00:09:03,279 --> 00:09:06,320 with the audience and that includes the 93 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:08,800 online audience of course 94 00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:11,760 so um that without further ado let me 95 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:13,120 just um 96 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:15,519 throw out a couple of uh a couple of 97 00:09:15,519 --> 00:09:17,120 buzzwords 98 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:20,640 so we're talking about the the trends uh 99 00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:23,120 threatening resilience that the pandemic 100 00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:24,399 has reinforced 101 00:09:24,399 --> 00:09:28,399 uh we talked about um thinking forward 102 00:09:28,399 --> 00:09:31,839 about uh thinking and acting 103 00:09:31,839 --> 00:09:36,160 um right now about the complementarity 104 00:09:36,160 --> 00:09:38,880 of both nato and the european union 105 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:42,399 um also about uh addressing capacity 106 00:09:42,399 --> 00:09:43,200 gaps 107 00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:45,519 and of course most of all lessons for 108 00:09:45,519 --> 00:09:48,000 the future of both organizations 109 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:52,320 so um since we just had the nato summit 110 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:55,440 um a couple of days ago let me first 111 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:56,240 turn to 112 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:59,680 miguel joanna from nato 113 00:09:59,680 --> 00:10:03,360 and uh ask him the question 114 00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:06,560 what role did democratic resilience 115 00:10:06,560 --> 00:10:08,959 or resilience in a broader sense play at 116 00:10:08,959 --> 00:10:10,640 the last nato summit 117 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:13,680 and uh what are the takeaways uh for our 118 00:10:13,680 --> 00:10:14,959 debate that you would like to 119 00:10:14,959 --> 00:10:18,399 relate with us floor is yours 120 00:10:18,399 --> 00:10:20,000 thank you roland uh it's always a 121 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:22,640 pleasure to be on the same stage 122 00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:25,279 uh albeit virtually with the with my 123 00:10:25,279 --> 00:10:26,800 very good friend from 124 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:29,519 a long period of time uh vice president 125 00:10:29,519 --> 00:10:29,839 uh 126 00:10:29,839 --> 00:10:32,320 chef chavez marrow good to see you i i 127 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:33,839 wanted to be there in bratislava 128 00:10:33,839 --> 00:10:35,200 physically but 129 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:37,600 you know the uh he's very very 130 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:39,680 complicated after our summit 131 00:10:39,680 --> 00:10:42,959 uh we've been uh debating on a on a 132 00:10:42,959 --> 00:10:45,279 physical stage just a few days ago 133 00:10:45,279 --> 00:10:47,519 the topic of resilience when we visited 134 00:10:47,519 --> 00:10:49,360 together bucharest 135 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:52,240 inaugurated a euro-atlantic resilience 136 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:52,880 center 137 00:10:52,880 --> 00:10:55,760 hosted by romania let me tell you a few 138 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:57,200 things about 139 00:10:57,200 --> 00:11:00,320 about where we stand in nato and where i 140 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:02,079 do believe 141 00:11:02,079 --> 00:11:06,000 that nato and eu could should and will 142 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:09,200 do more together the first thing 143 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:11,440 nato summit and if you look through the 144 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:13,120 long final communique 145 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,360 and if you look from the inside on the 146 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:17,279 nato 2030 decisions 147 00:11:17,279 --> 00:11:20,800 by the 30 allied leaders you'll see a 148 00:11:20,800 --> 00:11:22,160 big chunk 149 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:25,680 dedicated to resilience nato has been 150 00:11:25,680 --> 00:11:28,959 embarking on identifying 151 00:11:28,959 --> 00:11:32,480 and sizzling 152 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:35,040 what you call baseline requirements on 153 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:35,760 resilience 154 00:11:35,760 --> 00:11:38,880 basically resilience indicators this 155 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:39,360 started 156 00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:43,680 at the warsaw nato summit in 2016 157 00:11:43,680 --> 00:11:48,079 these indicators have been presented 158 00:11:48,079 --> 00:11:51,120 to nato allies to nations and 159 00:11:51,120 --> 00:11:54,480 every year at the national level allies 160 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,120 were measuring themselves against these 161 00:11:57,120 --> 00:11:58,000 indicators 162 00:11:58,000 --> 00:12:00,000 thus identifying the strong points and 163 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:01,760 also the weaker points 164 00:12:01,760 --> 00:12:03,839 of course as you mentioned roland the 165 00:12:03,839 --> 00:12:05,440 pandemic has brought 166 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,480 even more complex dimensions to the 167 00:12:08,480 --> 00:12:10,000 issue of resilience 168 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,959 we are now speaking and acting and this 169 00:12:12,959 --> 00:12:14,560 is what our leaders decided 170 00:12:14,560 --> 00:12:18,480 at the nato summit to have in a renew 171 00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:21,200 resilience commitment what does it mean 172 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:22,880 that we look even more attentively to 173 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:23,279 the 174 00:12:23,279 --> 00:12:26,079 existing indicators of nato but also 175 00:12:26,079 --> 00:12:28,320 will be looking even more 176 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:30,399 attentively to a broader definition of 177 00:12:30,399 --> 00:12:31,440 resilience 178 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:35,920 supply chains issues related to 179 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:38,800 fdi and screening of fdi because it's 180 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:39,120 not 181 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,760 irrelevant to our resilience who is 182 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:44,480 investing in what and where 183 00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:47,079 in our businesses in our infrastructures 184 00:12:47,079 --> 00:12:48,880 telecommunications and so on and so 185 00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:49,680 forth 186 00:12:49,680 --> 00:12:50,959 so this is something that we have 187 00:12:50,959 --> 00:12:53,680 decided something even more interesting 188 00:12:53,680 --> 00:12:54,639 and important i think 189 00:12:54,639 --> 00:12:57,440 politically is that our leaders agreed 190 00:12:57,440 --> 00:12:59,040 to the proposition of secretary general 191 00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:00,320 stoltenberg 192 00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:03,399 that on an annual basis high level 193 00:13:03,399 --> 00:13:04,560 representatives 194 00:13:04,560 --> 00:13:06,880 in national governments across the 195 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:07,920 alliance 196 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:10,800 will be meeting and this will also be i 197 00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:12,160 think the next stage 198 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:14,320 between the national prerogative because 199 00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:15,680 in the end it's a national and 200 00:13:15,680 --> 00:13:17,920 subnational prerogative resilience 201 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:21,040 but nato is a fantastic platform 202 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:22,880 to making sure that we look at these 203 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:24,079 things together 204 00:13:24,079 --> 00:13:26,480 and of course uh nato eu i've been 205 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:28,160 working with maurice on this one 206 00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:29,760 uh maresh i think we've been doing this 207 00:13:29,760 --> 00:13:31,920 for the last one and a half years 208 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:33,839 already i think 209 00:13:33,839 --> 00:13:36,399 when jen stottenberg was invited for the 210 00:13:36,399 --> 00:13:37,120 first time 211 00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:39,440 by president van der lion to meet the 212 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:41,440 college of commissioners 213 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:44,320 uh i think the first topic chosen by the 214 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:46,000 two organizations by the leadership of 215 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:47,440 our two organizations 216 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:49,680 for nato and the eu eu and nato to look 217 00:13:49,680 --> 00:13:50,959 even more 218 00:13:50,959 --> 00:13:53,920 intimately into the first one is 219 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:54,720 resilience 220 00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:56,639 of course then it's new technologies 221 00:13:56,639 --> 00:13:58,320 then we're looking into climate change 222 00:13:58,320 --> 00:13:59,839 and to space there are lots of things 223 00:13:59,839 --> 00:14:02,560 nato and eu should and will do more 224 00:14:02,560 --> 00:14:03,120 together 225 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:05,440 of course you already do a lot so this 226 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:06,639 is where we are 227 00:14:06,639 --> 00:14:08,800 uh a pivotal moment for the alliance as 228 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:10,959 a whole a very successful summit 229 00:14:10,959 --> 00:14:12,399 i understand that it was a very 230 00:14:12,399 --> 00:14:14,399 successful high-level meeting between 231 00:14:14,399 --> 00:14:16,480 president biden and the eu leadership 232 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:19,680 again a very successful g7 233 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:23,120 meeting before and now we can also look 234 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:25,839 with all the democratic political west 235 00:14:25,839 --> 00:14:26,959 uh 236 00:14:26,959 --> 00:14:30,160 reunited in a very positive way that the 237 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:31,519 meeting between president biden and 238 00:14:31,519 --> 00:14:33,199 president putin in geneva which was 239 00:14:33,199 --> 00:14:36,480 you know something that was very well 240 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:38,320 prepared by the sequence 241 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:40,800 of high-level uh participations by the 242 00:14:40,800 --> 00:14:41,680 u.s president 243 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:45,920 so i see a lot of potential in nato eu 244 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:49,199 cooperation on resilience i also know 245 00:14:49,199 --> 00:14:51,680 that the toolbox of nato is not 246 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:53,600 identical and it shouldn't be to the one 247 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:55,760 of the eu eu has 248 00:14:55,760 --> 00:14:57,360 a number of instruments and marish 249 00:14:57,360 --> 00:14:59,120 probably will tell you more about that 250 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:00,880 and foresight because that's the topic 251 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:03,199 of our panel is also part of this 252 00:15:03,199 --> 00:15:05,120 because anticipating change and 253 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:06,320 potential crisis 254 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:08,240 is important you mentioned democratic 255 00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:09,600 resilience 256 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:10,800 i will go back to something that 257 00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:12,720 fukuyama said in the in the clip you 258 00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:14,160 presented before our panel 259 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:17,199 it's also about the trust of our 260 00:15:17,199 --> 00:15:19,279 citizens of our public opinions 261 00:15:19,279 --> 00:15:21,680 in the institutions of democracy in our 262 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:22,560 governments 263 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:24,160 in what we do in international 264 00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:26,240 organizations like nato and eu 265 00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:29,519 so i do believe that societal resilience 266 00:15:29,519 --> 00:15:31,519 this is how we approach resilience as a 267 00:15:31,519 --> 00:15:33,120 comprehensive concept 268 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:35,759 also has a very important democratic 269 00:15:35,759 --> 00:15:37,600 resiliency if you want 270 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:39,839 some friends in the northern part of 271 00:15:39,839 --> 00:15:41,120 nato in the northern 272 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:43,199 geographical part of nato are speaking 273 00:15:43,199 --> 00:15:44,160 already about 274 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:47,040 citizens resilience at the even more 275 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:47,759 micro 276 00:15:47,759 --> 00:15:50,800 level the very fundamental cell of our 277 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:52,560 democratic societies 278 00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:54,720 and you also see here this information 279 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:56,399 and fake news and everything which is 280 00:15:56,399 --> 00:15:56,959 now 281 00:15:56,959 --> 00:16:00,800 uh you know uh all over the place 282 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:02,720 so in a nutshell that's where i believe 283 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:04,560 i believe that nato and eu on resilience 284 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:05,920 we are natural 285 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:08,000 strategic partners on this one and we 286 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:09,360 stand ready 287 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:11,920 uh and i think this will be discussed 288 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:13,920 again between our two organizations in 289 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:14,880 the next few weeks 290 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:16,320 and i think resilience will be probably 291 00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:18,320 one of the first topics will move 292 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:21,440 further in the strategic partnership 293 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,000 between nato and eu 294 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:27,519 thank you so much um let me now turn to 295 00:16:27,519 --> 00:16:30,880 uh uh uh mother chefchovitch um 296 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:34,160 with uh i just want to highlight this 297 00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:37,440 this one point uh that indeed as mercier 298 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:38,399 said 299 00:16:38,399 --> 00:16:40,160 nato is an intergovernmental 300 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:42,240 organization it brings governments 301 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:42,959 together 302 00:16:42,959 --> 00:16:44,399 but we're talking about national 303 00:16:44,399 --> 00:16:46,320 prerogatives when it comes to all these 304 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:46,880 questions 305 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:49,759 uh tied to uh resilience and strategic 306 00:16:49,759 --> 00:16:51,040 foresight and so on 307 00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:52,800 well uh the european union is a 308 00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:54,160 different animal 309 00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:58,160 and um so so so my my entry question to 310 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:00,480 you to which you should then tag on 311 00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:04,240 uh your own points uh is uh 312 00:17:04,240 --> 00:17:06,240 what precisely are these instruments 313 00:17:06,240 --> 00:17:07,839 that the european union and its 314 00:17:07,839 --> 00:17:09,919 institutions the european commission 315 00:17:09,919 --> 00:17:13,280 have to put into this effort 316 00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:16,240 i think that uh also based on that 317 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:17,520 experience of the 318 00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:19,839 of the last year i think it was quite 319 00:17:19,839 --> 00:17:20,799 clear that 320 00:17:20,799 --> 00:17:23,039 i would say such a basic tenants of the 321 00:17:23,039 --> 00:17:24,880 underlying commission for the 322 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,439 for the period was that of course we 323 00:17:27,439 --> 00:17:29,200 should uh 324 00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:31,840 accelerate between green and digital 325 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:33,360 transition 326 00:17:33,360 --> 00:17:36,640 but the kovid 19 crisis and i would say 327 00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:37,520 clear 328 00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:40,720 indication how suddenly you can disrupt 329 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,840 the global value chains how you know 330 00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:46,880 you can really stop the the 331 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:48,480 successful operation of the internal 332 00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:50,000 market because of the 333 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:52,720 border closures clearly demonstrated 334 00:17:52,720 --> 00:17:53,120 that 335 00:17:53,120 --> 00:17:55,280 to these two very important elements we 336 00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:56,640 have to add the third one and this is 337 00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:58,320 resilient so now we will see in all our 338 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:00,160 documents in all our policies in all our 339 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:01,600 strategies which we are putting on the 340 00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:02,400 table 341 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:05,280 very clear reference to the resilience 342 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:07,440 which you now call strategic compass for 343 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:08,640 our policies 344 00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:12,240 and of course it comes hand-in-hand with 345 00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:14,640 the new portfolio which uh i'm honored 346 00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:15,520 that uh 347 00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:17,760 from the line decided to entrust me with 348 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:18,720 and this is the 349 00:18:18,720 --> 00:18:21,039 the fourth side because uh we see that 350 00:18:21,039 --> 00:18:22,400 this world 351 00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,400 will not be less complicated in the 352 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:26,480 future i think we'll see more disruption 353 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:26,880 we 354 00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:30,480 we see more uh dynamic uh changes we see 355 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:31,600 how the world is 356 00:18:31,600 --> 00:18:34,320 becoming less multilateral more 357 00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:36,240 multiplayer we see the geopolitics 358 00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:37,679 geoeconomics play much much more 359 00:18:37,679 --> 00:18:38,720 significant role than 360 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:41,520 a couple of years ago and therefore we 361 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:42,080 are 362 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:44,640 just looking at the foresight 363 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:46,720 anticipatory governance 364 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:48,559 and a very important tool for modern 365 00:18:48,559 --> 00:18:50,559 governing and what i'm always 366 00:18:50,559 --> 00:18:52,720 kind of telling and underlying to the 367 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:54,559 foresight community 368 00:18:54,559 --> 00:18:56,400 that for foresight to be strategic it 369 00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,400 must be politically relevant it must be 370 00:18:58,400 --> 00:18:59,200 practical 371 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:00,880 and it must lead to the concrete 372 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:03,280 political decisions and therefore i'm 373 00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:04,960 glad speaking about i would say the 374 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:06,880 institutional setup that uh 375 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:08,160 we've been working very well with the 376 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:10,000 portuguese presidency and just couple of 377 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:11,520 weeks ago we set up 378 00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:13,440 the group of the ministers for the 379 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:16,320 future of course uh there was a joke set 380 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:17,360 i mean in that room 381 00:19:17,360 --> 00:19:19,120 that so far we've met only ministers of 382 00:19:19,120 --> 00:19:21,039 the past so now we have ministers 383 00:19:21,039 --> 00:19:22,480 for the future and i think it's very 384 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:24,720 important because in each government you 385 00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:25,120 need 386 00:19:25,120 --> 00:19:27,840 to have somebody who would coordinated 387 00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:29,760 this anticipatory policy he would look 388 00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:30,960 on this uh 389 00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:34,320 scenario building and see what might be 390 00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:35,360 over the horizon 391 00:19:35,360 --> 00:19:36,720 around the corner so it would be better 392 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:39,120 to prepare for that and uh come back to 393 00:19:39,120 --> 00:19:41,840 mirchas point i think that uh this is 394 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:43,360 clearly i would say the contribution of 395 00:19:43,360 --> 00:19:44,799 central and eastern europe because if i 396 00:19:44,799 --> 00:19:46,320 look at uh 397 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,559 at romania the fact that we have now eu 398 00:19:48,559 --> 00:19:49,360 cyber center 399 00:19:49,360 --> 00:19:52,160 located in bucharest that romania 400 00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:53,120 decided to go 401 00:19:53,120 --> 00:19:56,000 for creation of euro-atlantic resilience 402 00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:56,320 uh 403 00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:57,679 center and also the fact that we are 404 00:19:57,679 --> 00:19:59,760 discussing these topics here in brazil 405 00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:01,760 it just shows that uh maybe because we 406 00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:03,200 are more exposed 407 00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:05,679 uh you know to the to the to the east 408 00:20:05,679 --> 00:20:06,240 and to the 409 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:07,840 big neighbor to the east we kind of you 410 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:09,600 know perceive uh 411 00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:12,480 the need uh to be at the forefront of of 412 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:13,679 this discussion and 413 00:20:13,679 --> 00:20:16,159 for not speaking too long i would just 414 00:20:16,159 --> 00:20:16,720 uh 415 00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:19,200 mention one very important tool which 416 00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:20,080 now 417 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:22,000 you will see being i would say 418 00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:24,559 officially introduced in all member 419 00:20:24,559 --> 00:20:26,080 states across the eu 420 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:30,000 and this is the 750 billion euros 421 00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:33,200 which our president will be 422 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,320 announcing uh um i think uh we started 423 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:37,280 with portugal 424 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:39,280 now she's traveling to spain uh very 425 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:40,640 soon she will also will 426 00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:43,200 be welcomed here in slovakia where 427 00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:44,080 exactly 428 00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:46,720 uh the green digital and resilient 429 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:47,440 policies 430 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:51,280 would be those sectors where the 750 431 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:54,640 billion euros should be should be 432 00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,440 invested and that's i think one of the 433 00:20:57,440 --> 00:20:59,120 very important tools we have at our 434 00:20:59,120 --> 00:20:59,919 disposal 435 00:20:59,919 --> 00:21:01,600 because it comes with a combination of 436 00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:04,360 the usual budget so we are talking about 437 00:21:04,360 --> 00:21:06,799 1.85 trillion euros 438 00:21:06,799 --> 00:21:08,799 uh and therefore i think this should be 439 00:21:08,799 --> 00:21:10,159 indeed such a 440 00:21:10,159 --> 00:21:12,480 european marshall plan moment when we 441 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:13,280 can prepare 442 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:15,760 our countries and our infrastructure for 443 00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:17,200 the economic 444 00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:19,280 economies and politics of the 21st 445 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:20,960 century and i'm sure that brazilians 446 00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:22,159 will be a big part of it 447 00:21:22,159 --> 00:21:24,240 thank you so much madras before i ask a 448 00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:25,840 follow-up question let me remind the 449 00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:26,799 audience 450 00:21:26,799 --> 00:21:30,240 online and here in in the room 451 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:33,840 uh that you can ask questions via the uh 452 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:37,280 slido function of your globsec 453 00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:40,559 app so um please go ahead 454 00:21:40,559 --> 00:21:44,000 ask the first question and meanwhile 455 00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:48,159 um let me let me um focus on this 456 00:21:48,159 --> 00:21:51,600 uh on the foresight aspect 457 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:54,960 december 2019 uh i don't think 458 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,440 that the commission was planning for a 459 00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:58,000 pandemic 460 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:01,600 or something uh now we have it 461 00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:05,120 um what is the 462 00:22:05,120 --> 00:22:06,960 you know and and this this was called 463 00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:08,960 this is a so-called black swan 464 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:12,240 uh event a a disruptive 465 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,080 disruptive development which which is 466 00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:15,919 not foreseen 467 00:22:15,919 --> 00:22:19,600 what's the black swan uh event that you 468 00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:23,600 would envisage uh right now i think that 469 00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:25,520 this is always a bit of a it's a 470 00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:27,200 misleading perception that 471 00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:29,120 the good forsighters have a crystal ball 472 00:22:29,120 --> 00:22:30,799 unfortunately we don't 473 00:22:30,799 --> 00:22:33,919 but i think what is very important uh 474 00:22:33,919 --> 00:22:35,679 to work with so-called scenarios so 475 00:22:35,679 --> 00:22:37,760 currently we are monitoring uh 476 00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:41,360 17 mega trends and see how they can 477 00:22:41,360 --> 00:22:45,360 play into the future policies uh what 478 00:22:45,360 --> 00:22:47,600 the the climate change will do with 479 00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:48,960 migration waves 480 00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,280 how the demography would impact the 481 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:52,640 economic performance 482 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:56,080 in europe what would be the the new 483 00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:59,440 economic power centers 484 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:02,480 role in the future and where we want to 485 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:02,799 be 486 00:23:02,799 --> 00:23:06,400 in 2030 in in 2050 and then 487 00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:07,840 there is a technique which is called 488 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:09,760 back casting how from that 489 00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:11,840 vision which we want to achieve uh 490 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:13,039 should come 491 00:23:13,039 --> 00:23:16,320 to these days and really adopt 492 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:17,840 the policies which would bring us to 493 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,240 that preferred preferred scenario so i 494 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:21,120 think that 495 00:23:21,120 --> 00:23:23,840 uh the the best black swans are those 496 00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:25,360 which never materialized because we 497 00:23:25,360 --> 00:23:26,880 anticipated them and therefore you never 498 00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:27,919 heard of them 499 00:23:27,919 --> 00:23:30,960 uh but the truth is that if we look in 500 00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:33,679 the past be it financial meltdown 501 00:23:33,679 --> 00:23:36,960 beat migratory crisis or be covered 19 502 00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:38,559 i think there was writing on the wall 503 00:23:38,559 --> 00:23:40,159 that something like this is happening 504 00:23:40,159 --> 00:23:42,320 but the problem was that the foresight 505 00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:44,799 community was kind of voicing that 506 00:23:44,799 --> 00:23:46,720 this might have happened but it was kind 507 00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:48,480 of inconvenient truth and there was not 508 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:50,240 political channel which could bring it 509 00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:51,600 to the decision makers and 510 00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:54,480 policy makers like please you leaders be 511 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:55,919 aware that something like this is coming 512 00:23:55,919 --> 00:23:58,080 so this is what we are now 513 00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:01,039 overcoming and making sure that this uh 514 00:24:01,039 --> 00:24:02,720 horizon scanning or 515 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:06,080 you know the the the future uh possible 516 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:07,360 huge problems 517 00:24:07,360 --> 00:24:09,039 uh will be communicated to the top 518 00:24:09,039 --> 00:24:10,400 political level so we can 519 00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:13,039 anticipate we can prevent it or we can 520 00:24:13,039 --> 00:24:15,600 uh prepare decisions i think 521 00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,559 of of course the obvious uh dangers in 522 00:24:18,559 --> 00:24:19,840 the in the future 523 00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:23,360 are cyber security climate change 524 00:24:23,360 --> 00:24:25,360 migratory pressure and therefore we are 525 00:24:25,360 --> 00:24:26,640 already uh 526 00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:28,320 right now preparing adopting the 527 00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:30,400 policies to to minimize the possible 528 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:32,960 negative negative fallout and that's uh 529 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:34,640 we do very closely with uh 530 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:36,320 with mirchia because we are working 531 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,799 together on critical infrastructure 532 00:24:38,799 --> 00:24:42,640 on dual use of let's say transport uh 533 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,760 transport routes across the europe and 534 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:48,720 also on the future technologies on ai on 535 00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:49,440 uh 536 00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:50,799 screening of the foreign direct 537 00:24:50,799 --> 00:24:53,039 investment we had just adopted a 538 00:24:53,039 --> 00:24:55,440 new uh regulation in europe that every 539 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,440 foreign direct investment or 500 540 00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:59,520 million euros will have to be screened 541 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:01,120 if it's not some kind of hidden agenda 542 00:25:01,120 --> 00:25:01,919 behind it 543 00:25:01,919 --> 00:25:04,559 and we invested a lot in uh strategic 544 00:25:04,559 --> 00:25:05,919 autonomy my next 545 00:25:05,919 --> 00:25:07,200 annual four-sided report would be 546 00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:09,039 exactly about that the first one was in 547 00:25:09,039 --> 00:25:11,600 resilience now we are going to focus on 548 00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:12,960 open strategic 549 00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:14,799 autonomy just simply to be better 550 00:25:14,799 --> 00:25:16,720 prepared for this 551 00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:19,520 harsh world of today excellent thank you 552 00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,039 much thank you very much uh 553 00:25:21,039 --> 00:25:23,840 can we do this slido poll now i would 554 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:24,720 like to give you 555 00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:27,840 a multiple choice question 556 00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:30,240 about who should take the lead in 557 00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:31,120 strengthening 558 00:25:31,120 --> 00:25:34,960 democratic resilience in europe and 559 00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:38,960 please choose between four options 560 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:41,919 nato the european union national 561 00:25:41,919 --> 00:25:42,799 governments 562 00:25:42,799 --> 00:25:46,799 or civil society and 563 00:25:46,799 --> 00:25:48,799 we're being very politically correct 564 00:25:48,799 --> 00:25:51,039 here 565 00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:55,039 so i'll give this a few more seconds 566 00:25:55,039 --> 00:25:58,879 uh it's getting a little bit more even 567 00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:07,200 yeah let's uh let's let's leave this 568 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:08,559 aside for a little bit and 569 00:26:08,559 --> 00:26:11,679 come come back in a minute or so uh 570 00:26:11,679 --> 00:26:14,640 but in the meantime um well turning to 571 00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:15,919 miracea again 572 00:26:15,919 --> 00:26:19,279 uh just very briefly uh with the more 573 00:26:19,279 --> 00:26:21,679 classical heart security focused 574 00:26:21,679 --> 00:26:22,799 question of 575 00:26:22,799 --> 00:26:26,159 uh comparing the threats we face 576 00:26:26,159 --> 00:26:28,320 from china and from russia what has been 577 00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,000 the interplay between the two 578 00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:33,120 recently um we all know that china has 579 00:26:33,120 --> 00:26:34,320 never been mentioned as 580 00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:37,440 often in a nato document as uh in the 581 00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:39,279 last after the last summit 582 00:26:39,279 --> 00:26:42,400 and uh so how how do you see 583 00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:45,520 these two challenges uh evolving 584 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:49,679 for europe and for the west 585 00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:55,279 listen the coming back just one second 586 00:26:55,279 --> 00:26:57,279 to resilience 587 00:26:57,279 --> 00:26:59,840 when we speak at nato the same thing the 588 00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:00,480 eu 589 00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:02,799 the same thing in national governments 590 00:27:02,799 --> 00:27:04,240 sub-national governments or 591 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:08,320 civil society and our citizenry 592 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,400 when we speak about societal resilience 593 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:12,200 we speak about the 594 00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:15,200 indispensable interconnection 595 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:18,240 on a permanent basis between government 596 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:21,600 public sector private sector and our 597 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:23,840 civil society and our citizens there's 598 00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:25,120 no way 599 00:27:25,120 --> 00:27:27,440 in the complex world we are living now 600 00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:29,360 and this will become 601 00:27:29,360 --> 00:27:33,200 an any foresight any potential futures 602 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,919 the plural are indicating that we are 603 00:27:35,919 --> 00:27:36,559 the moment 604 00:27:36,559 --> 00:27:39,039 of fantastic turmoil and global 605 00:27:39,039 --> 00:27:40,960 realignment 606 00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:43,279 this means that in nato the very 607 00:27:43,279 --> 00:27:45,120 definition of security not only of 608 00:27:45,120 --> 00:27:45,919 resilience 609 00:27:45,919 --> 00:27:48,960 is broadening we have adopted that our 610 00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:49,520 summit 611 00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:51,679 an action plan on the security 612 00:27:51,679 --> 00:27:53,679 implications of climate change maharaj 613 00:27:53,679 --> 00:27:54,559 of course 614 00:27:54,559 --> 00:27:56,640 in his foresight capacity for the 615 00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:58,080 european commission 616 00:27:58,080 --> 00:27:59,679 is actively looking into that we are 617 00:27:59,679 --> 00:28:01,520 looking to the security implications of 618 00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:02,320 climate change 619 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:05,279 and they are massive we are looking into 620 00:28:05,279 --> 00:28:06,480 cyber 621 00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:08,159 and again this is something which is 622 00:28:08,159 --> 00:28:09,919 happening every day this was also a 623 00:28:09,919 --> 00:28:11,840 dominant part of the 624 00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:14,320 biden putin high level meeting yesterday 625 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:15,520 in geneva 626 00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:17,840 and also our leaders at the nato summit 627 00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:18,799 adopted 628 00:28:18,799 --> 00:28:21,840 a new even more robust 629 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:25,520 nato cyber defense policy 630 00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:27,919 we anticipate that global competition 631 00:28:27,919 --> 00:28:29,440 and this is also relates to the rise of 632 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:30,399 china 633 00:28:30,399 --> 00:28:33,520 and to the uh disruptive 634 00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:35,760 way in which russia actions in many many 635 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:37,279 of this 636 00:28:37,279 --> 00:28:40,559 multi-domain security conversation 637 00:28:40,559 --> 00:28:43,760 is that outer space space is becoming a 638 00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:44,559 place 639 00:28:44,559 --> 00:28:49,360 of ever more intense global competition 640 00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:51,840 this is why i was happy to sign with our 641 00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:53,760 allies from luxembourg 642 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:56,000 a a new investment we have here in nato 643 00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:57,840 headquarters in brussels where i'm 644 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:01,840 speaking you from on a strategic 645 00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:05,520 oversight of space 646 00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:09,360 activities that we are also working into 647 00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:12,000 speaking of potential issues where also 648 00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:12,720 china is 649 00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,520 already playing a big role is not only 650 00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,200 about global trade 651 00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:19,840 and not only about supply chains and not 652 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:20,720 only about 653 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,760 fdi screening not only about 5g 654 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:26,720 and security but also to issues that we 655 00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:28,720 are witnessing today and this will be 656 00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:31,600 only even more intense competition in 657 00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:32,640 the future 658 00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:34,480 which is the competition for rare 659 00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:36,480 materials 660 00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:38,480 which is the competition of microchip 661 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:39,760 production 662 00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:42,640 which is the issue of the european 663 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:44,480 commission and european union are doing 664 00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:47,600 a fantastic pivot towards a different 665 00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:49,200 kind of economic model 666 00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:52,080 with green with more digital with more 667 00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:53,120 resilient 668 00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:55,679 this means that we'll also be witnessing 669 00:29:55,679 --> 00:29:56,640 tremendous 670 00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:59,200 transformations of our economic models 671 00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:00,000 but also 672 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:02,399 we will be witnessing probably 673 00:30:02,399 --> 00:30:03,039 additional 674 00:30:03,039 --> 00:30:05,120 vulnerabilities for the new economic 675 00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:06,240 model not only for the 676 00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,159 old one or the current one that's why 677 00:30:08,159 --> 00:30:09,679 the idea of the ministers of the future 678 00:30:09,679 --> 00:30:10,720 i think is bright 679 00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:13,760 living aside the the the self irony that 680 00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:15,120 i see in maharashi's voice 681 00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:18,080 on on on the definition of this so what 682 00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:19,039 i'm just saying 683 00:30:19,039 --> 00:30:21,840 that china's rise is one of the most 684 00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:22,880 important moments 685 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:26,159 in in in in human history 686 00:30:26,159 --> 00:30:27,919 it's not only the last decades i think 687 00:30:27,919 --> 00:30:29,440 is the last five centuries 688 00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:31,360 since the west has been dominating in 689 00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:32,880 various incarnations 690 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:36,720 uh the world this is why for us in nato 691 00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:39,760 keeping our technological edge investing 692 00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:40,559 and adopting 693 00:30:40,559 --> 00:30:42,240 technologies also when it comes to 694 00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:43,600 defense and security 695 00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:45,679 is something which is which is critical 696 00:30:45,679 --> 00:30:46,960 for maintaining 697 00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:49,360 uh our superiority and let me tell you 698 00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:51,679 something which goes back to democracy 699 00:30:51,679 --> 00:30:54,960 is this not only about economic 700 00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:56,240 competition 701 00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,600 or gdp uh or how much 702 00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:01,440 defense spending you do they're all very 703 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:02,799 important they're part of 704 00:31:02,799 --> 00:31:05,760 hard and soft power but in the end this 705 00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:07,360 is a struggle 706 00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:11,120 between democracies the need to improve 707 00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:14,159 they need to be more 708 00:31:14,159 --> 00:31:16,640 responsive to the criticism of our 709 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:17,519 citizens 710 00:31:17,519 --> 00:31:19,840 on the way the state of affairs in our 711 00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:21,679 societies in the political democratic 712 00:31:21,679 --> 00:31:22,720 west 713 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:24,799 but nonetheless the competition between 714 00:31:24,799 --> 00:31:27,279 democracy and authoritarian regimes 715 00:31:27,279 --> 00:31:29,279 this is something that is the most 716 00:31:29,279 --> 00:31:31,360 important and ethical fight 717 00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:34,080 of our lifetimes for us in central and 718 00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:36,240 eastern europe because we lived 719 00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:38,000 at my age i lived half of my life in 720 00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:39,840 communism half of my life 721 00:31:39,840 --> 00:31:42,320 in freedom and democracy and for me 722 00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:43,600 there is absolutely no 723 00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:47,279 question about the vital interest 724 00:31:47,279 --> 00:31:50,000 of us in the political west in europe in 725 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:51,760 north america with our democratic 726 00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:53,039 friends all over the world 727 00:31:53,039 --> 00:31:56,399 that we have to engage and fight and win 728 00:31:56,399 --> 00:31:57,200 this fight 729 00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,440 there is no way that somebody can 730 00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:01,200 convince i think people from our part of 731 00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:02,640 the world and i think from all over the 732 00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:03,919 political west 733 00:32:03,919 --> 00:32:06,559 that living in an authoritarian country 734 00:32:06,559 --> 00:32:08,399 is better than living in a free open 735 00:32:08,399 --> 00:32:11,519 society that having the right to choose 736 00:32:11,519 --> 00:32:13,679 and get rid of your leaders through 737 00:32:13,679 --> 00:32:15,120 democratic elections 738 00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:18,159 is something that is less efficient uh 739 00:32:18,159 --> 00:32:20,559 in in in the mid and long term than 740 00:32:20,559 --> 00:32:21,760 authoritarian 741 00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:25,200 never-ending you know personal uh 742 00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:28,399 uh uh you know autocratic movements in 743 00:32:28,399 --> 00:32:29,519 many other countries 744 00:32:29,519 --> 00:32:32,159 so this is a very complex issue and if 745 00:32:32,159 --> 00:32:32,559 you look 746 00:32:32,559 --> 00:32:34,399 through this big big discussion we have 747 00:32:34,399 --> 00:32:36,799 today you can also anticipate 748 00:32:36,799 --> 00:32:39,840 uh in terms of foresight uh 749 00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:42,320 not only the the eventual black swans 750 00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:43,600 but also the grey 751 00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:46,720 rhinos the things that are here and 752 00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:48,480 after the lessons of the pandemic i 753 00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:49,679 don't think we have the luxury 754 00:32:49,679 --> 00:32:51,120 politically speaking 755 00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:53,760 to ignore the signs of things that we 756 00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:55,279 know are coming 757 00:32:55,279 --> 00:32:57,120 and we have no absolutely really sorry 758 00:32:57,120 --> 00:32:58,799 to interrupt at this point 759 00:32:58,799 --> 00:33:01,279 but we're running short of time milsia 760 00:33:01,279 --> 00:33:02,320 i'm so sorry 761 00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:05,760 so the the the slido poll has evolved 762 00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:08,720 democracies and i know i know i always 763 00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:09,519 speak to too much 764 00:33:09,519 --> 00:33:11,600 i so agree i mean it it hurts me more 765 00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:12,799 than it hurts you 766 00:33:12,799 --> 00:33:15,840 uh to interrupt at this point but uh so 767 00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:19,360 this slider poll has evolved uh and the 768 00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:21,200 the national governments have kind of 769 00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:22,840 overtaken the rest 770 00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:25,760 um but you know i think the most 771 00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:27,760 important answer that i didn't 772 00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:30,240 offer you of course is that all of the 773 00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:31,120 above 774 00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:33,279 obviously and that's what this session 775 00:33:33,279 --> 00:33:34,240 is really about 776 00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:37,679 it is about how we interact um 777 00:33:37,679 --> 00:33:41,120 and the one of one of one of my uh 778 00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:43,440 goals in this was also to emphasize 779 00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:44,799 civil society 780 00:33:44,799 --> 00:33:47,440 does play a role in democratic 781 00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,279 resilience 782 00:33:49,279 --> 00:33:52,480 and so can we can we just have short 783 00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:54,960 short comments uh uh from uh from the 784 00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:56,880 two speakers here on the 785 00:33:56,880 --> 00:34:00,080 uh question of who does what yes i i 786 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:01,840 think that uh just to 787 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:05,360 uh kind of complement the the merchant's 788 00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,480 response when yesterday we discussed 789 00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:09,520 with uh 790 00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:12,639 our president what was her main takeaway 791 00:34:12,639 --> 00:34:15,760 from g7 from eu summit 792 00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:18,480 she said that there was striking 793 00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:20,639 consensus that uh 794 00:34:20,639 --> 00:34:23,679 the leaders decided that it's even more 795 00:34:23,679 --> 00:34:24,800 important than ever 796 00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:27,679 to stand up for democracy so despite of 797 00:34:27,679 --> 00:34:28,800 all the economic 798 00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:32,639 uh defense future anti-talks 799 00:34:32,639 --> 00:34:35,599 that was the main takeaway and i think 800 00:34:35,599 --> 00:34:38,239 it just reflects 801 00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:41,280 the the discussion we have here uh 802 00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,839 today that the the feature and success 803 00:34:43,839 --> 00:34:45,199 of our society 804 00:34:45,199 --> 00:34:47,760 is based on democratic performance and 805 00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:49,359 on democratic system 806 00:34:49,359 --> 00:34:51,679 and let's be honest i mean democratizing 807 00:34:51,679 --> 00:34:53,280 the democrats is under pressure i mean 808 00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:53,839 if you looked 809 00:34:53,839 --> 00:34:56,000 up through different statistics um 810 00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:57,440 actually over the last five years the 811 00:34:57,440 --> 00:34:58,960 number of democratic 812 00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:00,960 countries in in in the world is not 813 00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:02,000 growing but it's 814 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:05,440 it's uh it's uh uh coming uh 815 00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:07,839 you know to the to the lower number so 816 00:35:07,839 --> 00:35:09,599 it's a challenge which you have to 817 00:35:09,599 --> 00:35:11,359 work with but nevertheless uh i would 818 00:35:11,359 --> 00:35:12,880 say this clearly 819 00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,839 stand up for democracy this i would say 820 00:35:15,839 --> 00:35:17,200 very united 821 00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:19,119 uh approach and why how this was 822 00:35:19,119 --> 00:35:20,320 discussed it's 823 00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:24,720 for me absolute sea change from uh 824 00:35:24,720 --> 00:35:26,720 the discussions we had not so long ago 825 00:35:26,720 --> 00:35:27,839 in munich when 826 00:35:27,839 --> 00:35:29,599 ambassador richinger was talking about 827 00:35:29,599 --> 00:35:31,920 restlessness so west is back 828 00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:33,440 and it's good for democracy and it's 829 00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:35,280 good for the people who are uh who are 830 00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:36,000 living 831 00:35:36,000 --> 00:35:38,560 in a democratic society and coming back 832 00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:39,359 to your 833 00:35:39,359 --> 00:35:42,079 questions who does what as you i think 834 00:35:42,079 --> 00:35:42,560 as 835 00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:44,079 as a people answered the questions i 836 00:35:44,079 --> 00:35:46,160 mean that's a role for all of us 837 00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:49,200 and i think uh here we never can uh 838 00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:53,599 uh do uh enough because i think 839 00:35:53,599 --> 00:35:56,240 that all of us have a role to play and 840 00:35:56,240 --> 00:35:58,000 very often we are discussing the 841 00:35:58,000 --> 00:35:58,960 question of 842 00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:01,440 you know communication of the eu why 843 00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:02,880 it's so difficult to understand our 844 00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:05,119 policies why the people have a feeling 845 00:36:05,119 --> 00:36:05,599 of 846 00:36:05,599 --> 00:36:07,680 democratic deficit why very often the 847 00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:08,880 perception of the 848 00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:11,440 uh eu is not so glamorous as it should 849 00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:12,079 be 850 00:36:12,079 --> 00:36:14,560 and what i am saying is that it's very 851 00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:15,359 difficult 852 00:36:15,359 --> 00:36:17,680 to to talk over the heads of national 853 00:36:17,680 --> 00:36:18,400 leaders 854 00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:20,160 so what i want to say is that when we 855 00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:22,160 are talking about democratic resilience 856 00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:23,680 there must be the same messages coming 857 00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:25,520 from the national level from the eu 858 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:26,000 level 859 00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:27,680 i know that civic society will do their 860 00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:29,440 part and of course 861 00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:33,839 the nato as a hard power institutions 862 00:36:33,839 --> 00:36:36,880 is offering the solutions how to protect 863 00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:38,640 the democratic countries thank you so 864 00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:40,000 much i take 865 00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,320 one question from the audience uh to 866 00:36:42,320 --> 00:36:44,079 mitchell joanna 867 00:36:44,079 --> 00:36:46,079 how would you align the threat 868 00:36:46,079 --> 00:36:47,920 assessments and the national resilience 869 00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:49,440 commitments in the two 870 00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:52,320 strategic documents of the eu and nato 871 00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:53,760 the strategic compass 872 00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:55,599 for the european union the strategic 873 00:36:55,599 --> 00:36:57,520 concept for nato so can you 874 00:36:57,520 --> 00:37:00,640 just and really two minutes floor is 875 00:37:00,640 --> 00:37:02,960 yours 876 00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,320 listen uh the nato summit reconfirmed 30 877 00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:09,119 allies and many of the leaders are also 878 00:37:09,119 --> 00:37:11,359 leaders of eu member states they 879 00:37:11,359 --> 00:37:12,720 reconfirm nato as 880 00:37:12,720 --> 00:37:16,960 the prime platform for transatlantic 881 00:37:16,960 --> 00:37:19,920 dialogue and political convergence on 882 00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:21,839 everything relating to security 883 00:37:21,839 --> 00:37:23,440 everything relating to security 884 00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:27,359 including economic uh 885 00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:29,440 issues including resilience including 886 00:37:29,440 --> 00:37:31,520 many things that we have discussed 887 00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:33,839 and let me come back to to what i 888 00:37:33,839 --> 00:37:35,599 believe is the essence 889 00:37:35,599 --> 00:37:39,599 of our conversation the resources 890 00:37:39,599 --> 00:37:42,000 of the political west are finite by 891 00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:43,440 definition 892 00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:45,119 we are in an era of great power 893 00:37:45,119 --> 00:37:46,880 competition and for the first time 894 00:37:46,880 --> 00:37:50,480 we could god forbid not continue to be 895 00:37:50,480 --> 00:37:51,680 number one 896 00:37:51,680 --> 00:37:55,280 in terms of influence and and rules and 897 00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:55,920 norms 898 00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:58,400 we we propose to the world and the rise 899 00:37:58,400 --> 00:37:59,280 of china is 900 00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:01,359 a part of this conversation so when it 901 00:38:01,359 --> 00:38:02,560 comes to 902 00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:05,599 the political consequences 903 00:38:05,599 --> 00:38:08,960 of this new global reality the political 904 00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:11,599 consequences of the pandemic the 905 00:38:11,599 --> 00:38:13,200 political consequences 906 00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:17,119 of the realization here in the west 907 00:38:17,119 --> 00:38:19,280 of the changes in the world there's no 908 00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:20,800 other way 909 00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:24,880 than for nato and eu to make sure 910 00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:28,079 that the nato new next strategic concept 911 00:38:28,079 --> 00:38:29,200 that will be ready 912 00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:32,320 by the madrid summit in 2022 and the 913 00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:34,480 strategic compass of the eu that will be 914 00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:36,400 ready during the french presidency of eu 915 00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:37,920 council 916 00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:41,200 are converging and complementary not 917 00:38:41,200 --> 00:38:43,680 identical but converging and 918 00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:44,880 complementary 919 00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:47,520 if we do this we are on the safe side of 920 00:38:47,520 --> 00:38:49,920 history 921 00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:52,960 thank you so much i think uh we could 922 00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:55,359 continue this uh actually we should uh 923 00:38:55,359 --> 00:38:55,920 in 924 00:38:55,920 --> 00:38:57,680 uh talks in the corridors and then the 925 00:38:57,680 --> 00:38:59,599 coffee break and and so on 926 00:38:59,599 --> 00:39:02,480 but we have to wrap it up at this point 927 00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:02,960 um 928 00:39:02,960 --> 00:39:06,400 i think the the the decisive uh takeaway 929 00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:07,839 here 930 00:39:07,839 --> 00:39:11,119 is that it's it's a multi-pronged effort 931 00:39:11,119 --> 00:39:13,920 nato and the european union will both 932 00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:14,480 have to 933 00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:16,640 will have to closely cooperate and they 934 00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:18,720 will both have to play their respective 935 00:39:18,720 --> 00:39:19,359 strengths 936 00:39:19,359 --> 00:39:22,480 in a common effort to increase 937 00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:25,520 strategic foresight for strengthening 938 00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:27,599 resilience and the last thought that i 939 00:39:27,599 --> 00:39:29,119 want to leave you with here 940 00:39:29,119 --> 00:39:32,320 uh it is about democracy 941 00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:34,560 versus authoritarianism this is the 942 00:39:34,560 --> 00:39:36,160 overarching struggle 943 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:39,680 of the upcoming decade decades probably 944 00:39:39,680 --> 00:39:42,960 pure plural that will 945 00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:46,160 shape our era and the west 946 00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:48,800 indeed stands a fighting chance in this 947 00:39:48,800 --> 00:39:49,440 if we 948 00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:52,640 stick together and we stay confident so 949 00:39:52,640 --> 00:39:54,800 thank you so much for being here 950 00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:57,520 for participating in the debate um 951 00:39:57,520 --> 00:39:59,359 thanks to our two 952 00:39:59,359 --> 00:40:02,560 speakers uh milchia joanna and mario 953 00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:03,680 chefchovich 954 00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:06,560 and with that i thank you very much and 955 00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:07,200 wish you 956 00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:09,359 fruitful further debates thank you thank 957 00:40:09,359 --> 00:40:09,910 you 958 00:40:09,910 --> 00:40:16,610 [Applause] 959 00:40:16,610 --> 00:40:25,519 [Music] 960 00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:56,960 you